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Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Regional Executive Dr. Matt Martin highlights the clear cooling taking place in the labor market. One key signal: businesses are no longer complaining about being unable to find workers, and hiring has slowed dramatically. That context matters — especially with a new jobs report released today. The economy is still moving, but the balance of power in the labor market is shifting, and that has implications for wages, inflation, and policy decisions going forward.
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Dr. Matt Martin points to elevated delinquencies in credit cards and auto loans, especially for vehicles purchased during the high-price period of 2021–2022. This is not a replay of 2008. Mortgage delinquencies remain relatively low, and the financial system is far more stable. But the data does signal something important: many households are operating with less margin than the topline economic numbers suggest. The economy can be growing while families still feel stretched. Both things can be tr
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